read also :All eyes watching Dean's path Bush RadioAug. 19, 2007
Saturday, 7am eastern update:
NOAA has released
the latest info on hurricane Dean. Dean is currently a Category 4
hurricane sitting approximately 600 miles to the south southeast of Jamaica.
Dean is moving to the west at 17 MPH. Despite having weakened
overnight, hurricane Dean still packs sustained winds of over 150 MPH.
The updated storm path has Dean's eye passing just south of Jamaica then
continuing on just south of Grand Cayman before blowing west towards Cancun.
If the storm sustains or strengthens its 150 MPH winds, Jamaica and the
Caymans will likely face the most dangerous hurricanes in Caribbean history.
The most dangerous storm in history was 1988's hurricane Gilbert.
Eerily, Gilbert traveled almost the exact same path as Dean. Gilbert's
135 MPH winds gained strength after slamming into Jamaica and killed 315
people, mostly in Mexico. 45 people were killed in Jamaica.
The center of Hurricane Dean is passing near St. Lucia and Martinique.
At 5 a.m. EDT, the center of Hurricane Dean was located near latitude 14.3
north, longitude 60.9 west, in the St. Lucia channel between St. Lucia and
Martinique.
Dean is moving toward the west near 24 mph, and this general motion is expected
to continue with some decrease in forward speed during the next 24 hours.
This motion should take the center of Dean away from the Lesser Antilles later
today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph, with higher gusts. Dean is a
category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Stronger winds --
especially in gusts -- are likely over elevated terrain near the path of the
center. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the center and tropical
storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb, or 28.82 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels, accompanied by
large and dangerous battering waves, is possible near the center of Dean.
Storm total rainfall of 2 to 5 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 10
inches in mountainous areas...are possible in association with Dean in the
Lesser Antilles. Across Puerto Rico, storm total amounts of 1 to 2 inches
can be expected with maximum amounts of up to 5 inches. These rains could
cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for St. Lucia, Martinique, Dominica nd
Guadeloupe and its dependencies. Preparations to protect life and property
should be rushed to completion.
At 5 a.m. EDT, the meteorological service of Antigua has issued a Tropical Storm
Warning for the British Virgin Islands. A Tropical Storm Warning remains
in effect for the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. A Tropical Storm Warning
also remains in effect for the following islands of the Lesser Antilles: Grenada
and its dependencies, St. Vincent and The Grenadines, Barbados, Saba, St.
Eustatius, Montserrat, Antigua, Nevis, St. Kitts, Barbuda, St. Maarten and
Anguilla. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.
At 5 a.m. EDT, a tropical storm watch is in effect for the southwestern
peninsula of Haiti from Port-au-Prince to the Haiti/Dominican Republic border.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the South Coast of the Dominican
Republic from Caboengano to the Haiti/Dominican Republic border. A tropical
storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area -- generally within 36 hours.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 8
a.m. EDT, followed by the next complete advisory at 11 a.m. EDT.
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