A surprise tornado touched down in a commercial district of
Beaumont, Texas on Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2009.
(Pete Churton/Beaumont Enterprise/AP tornado
Photos)
Hurricane center last info
Hurricane center last info
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 tornado
shelter plans WHY spend $40,000 on a commercial fallout shelter??? I'm sure
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Tornado Facts, Safety Tips & Insurance InformationAs the severe weather season approaches, take some time during Severe Weather Safety Awareness Week to make a safety plan for your family, friends, neighbors and co-workers. Planning ahead will lower the chance of injury or death in the event severe weather strikes.tornado photos: Tornado Collapses Texas Retail Store Roof
A surprise tornado touched down in a commercial district of
Beaumont, Texas on Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2009.
(Pete Churton/Beaumont Enterprise/AP tornado
Photos)
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related Supertyphoon Krosa Nears Taiwan
Here's what travelers need to know about Hurricane Dean :
People Are Preparing for Hurricane Dean,
Sunday August 19, 2007
picture: REUTERS/CARLOS BARRIA
by Mark Schleifstein Sunday August 19, 2007, 2:27 PM found at The Times-Picayune
As Hurricane Dean rakes across Jamaica today on its way to a potentially
disastrous date with the Yucatan Peninsula early Tuesday morning, it's showing
the tell-tale characteristics of a maturing major cyclone.
Dean
lost some strength overnight, the probable result of an eyewall replacement
cycle. On Saturday, two eyewalls were clearly visible in the center of the
storm.
By midnight, only one, and an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft reported the eye as less distinctive, with warmer cloudtops.
This cycling is routine in major hurricanes, as the eyewall and its maximum winds contract smaller and smaller. Rainbands just outside the eyewall grow together into a new ring, robbing the interior eye of moisture and energy, and eventually replacing it.As can be seen with Hurricane Dean, the cycle usually ends with the storm strengthening again.
The other characteristic being shown by Dean is what forecasters Richard Pasch and Dan Brown referred to as "trochoidal wobbles" and what I call "crazy Ivans," (As in Tom Clancy's "The Hunt for Red October")
Think of the hurricane as a top moving across a tabletop, and someone blows on it or touches it, changing its course for a moment. Differences in the distribution of rainfall within the storm, or changes in wind shear, or the way in which the eyewall replacement occurs creates a momentary zig or zag, and is a major reason why hurricane forecasts cover six-hour periods - to even out the wobbles.
Today's forecasts discount the effects of such motions, relying on the
expected continued growth of a high pressure ridge over the United States to
continue to push Dean west over the next few days.
The forecast calls for Dean to hit Category 5 strength before its eye goes
ashore south of the island of Cozumel and the resort city of Cancun on Mexico's
Yucatan Peninsula. The likely target at the moment is the Sian Ka'an Biosphere
Reserve, near the Mayan Ruins of Tulum. The reserve's beaches, swamps and
mangroves sit along a 70-mile stretch of barrier reef.
Dean will weaken significantly, as its path is predicted to have moved south
enough to keep much of the storm over the peninsula as it crosses into the Bay
of Campeche.
But warm water there will help it regain strength to at least a Category 3 storm
weather before going ashore again south of the Mexico-Texas border near Tampico.
A reminder that I'm not a meteorologist, and you should use the National Hurricane Center's official forecast for planning purposes.
Mark Schleifstein is The Times-Picayune's environment and hurricane reporter,
and co-author of "Path of Destruction: the Devastation of New Orleans and
the Coming Age of Superstorms." He can be contacted at 504-826-3327, or
mschleifstein@timespicayune.com
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